{"id":4183,"date":"2024-07-14T00:54:23","date_gmt":"2024-07-13T22:54:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/?p=4183"},"modified":"2024-07-14T01:40:32","modified_gmt":"2024-07-13T23:40:32","slug":"%d8%b3%d9%8a%d9%86%d8%a7%d8%b1%d9%8a%d9%88-%d8%ad%d8%b1%d8%a8-%d8%a5%d8%b3%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%a6%d9%8a%d9%84-%d8%ad%d8%b2%d8%a8-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%84%d9%87-%d9%88%d8%aa%d8%af%d8%a7%d8%b9%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%aa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/?p=4183","title":{"rendered":"\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644-\u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0648\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646-\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: 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href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/18\/middleeast\/hezbollah-drone-video-israel-haifa-intl-latam\/index.html?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc\">\u0648\u0642\u0628\u0631\u0635<\/a>. \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/originals\/2024\/06\/lebanon-hochstein-calls-urgent-end-israel-hezbollah-escalation\">\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u062e\u0641\u0636 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/a>. \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0622\u062e\u0631 <a 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href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2024\/6\/19\/attacks-rhetoric-israel-hezbollah-could-plunge-lebanon-war\">\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644-\u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647<\/a>\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644-\u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0645\u0633\u062f\u0648\u062f\u060c \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0646 \u0623\u0646\u0647 <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/20\/middleeast\/hagari-netanyahu-destroy-hamas-israel-intl\/index.html\">\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629<\/a>\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 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href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Hezbollahs-Missile-and-Rocket-Arrays.pdf\">\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/a> \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0639\u0646 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0627\u062d\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/missilethreat.csis.org\/country\/hezbollahs-rocket-arsenal\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629<\/a> \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u060c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/us-wants-de-escalation-in-north-after-hezbollah-fires-largest-rocket-volley-of-war\/\">\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0631\u0636\u0629<\/a> \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0648 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u064a\u062f\u0646\u060c \u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0631\u0627\u0637 \u062d\u0632\u0628 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\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/20\/politics\/us-concerns-israel-iron-dome-hezbollah\/index.html\">\u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627 \u062d\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0627<\/a>. \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627 (<a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/\">Alma Research and Education Center<\/a>) \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0632\u0627\u062f \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0634\u0646\u0647 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u062b\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0634\u0631 \u0636\u0639\u0641\u0627\u064b. \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u0631 85 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0646\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0646 42 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0623\u0630\u0627\u0631 24 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0634\u0628\u0627\u0637 7 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0642\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2024.\u00a0 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0647\u062f\u060c &#8220;\u0646\u0641\u0630\u062a \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0630 8 \u062a\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 2023 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 31 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u0631 2024 \u062d\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0644\u0641 \u0648954 \u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 46% \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0646\u064a\u0629&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/parsi.euronews.com\/2024\/06\/04\/is-hezbollah-beginning-to-anticipate-idfs-responses\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u0645\u062d \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/a> \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644. \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0645\u0639 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647\u060c \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0628\u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u063a\u0632\u0629.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647\u060c \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0634\u0648\u0628 \u0623\u064a \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0647 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646 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\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0628\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631 \u0642\u0644\u0639\u0629 \u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u0642\u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647\u060c \u0633\u062a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0648\u0633\u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f\u0639 (deterrence policy) \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0648\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u060c \u0623\u062b\u0628\u062a\u062a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0648\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 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\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0625\u0636\u0639\u0627\u0641\u0647\u060c \u0633\u062a\u0634\u062c\u0639 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0644\u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629. \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0648\u0631 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0647\u064a \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0643\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0648 \u062d\u0631\u0628 (\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0643) \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0626\u0629 (asymmetric warfare). \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0642 \u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644\u062a \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0635\u0627 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\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 &#8230;. \u0625\u0644\u062e \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631. \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0639 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u062f\u0621\u0627 \u0628\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a. \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0635\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0631\u0629&#8221; (carrot and stick)\u060c \u0628\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0636\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628.<\/p>\n<ul dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0647\u0627 <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/03\/26\/bidens-iran-policy-nuclear-deal-jcpoa\/\">\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627<\/a> \u0623\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 <a href=\"https:\/\/thebulletin.org\/2024\/04\/why-iran-may-accelerate-its-nuclear-program-and-israel-may-be-tempted-to-attack-it\/\">\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627<\/a> \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 \u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0647\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/iranprimer.usip.org\/blog\/2023\/jan\/25\/israel-iran-threat-options\">\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/a>. \u0628\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0623\u0646 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u064a\u062f\u0646 \u0639\u0642\u062f\u0627 <a href=\"https:\/\/thecradle.co\/articles-id\/78\">\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062c\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0648\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/a> \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0642\u0636\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0648\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0636\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0643\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0634\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0639 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/89b01990-7657-45ea-baaa-1f214b40f1cb\">\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u0645\u0631<\/a>\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0643\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0647\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fdd.org\/analysis\/2024\/05\/22\/u-s-conducts-secret-indirect-talks-with-irans-chief-nuclear-negotiator\/\">\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629<\/a> \u0648 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\u0627\u0644\u0632\u0646\u0627\u062f \u0623\u0648 (snapback) \u0648\u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636\u0629 \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0642\u0645 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.undocs.org\/Home\/Mobile?FinalSymbol=S%2FRES%2F2231(2015)&amp;Language=E&amp;DeviceType=Desktop&amp;LangRequested=False\">2231<\/a>)<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>. \u0641\u064a \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644 \u062d\u0644\u064a\u0641 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\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f\u0639 (deterrence policy) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0646\u062a\u0647\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u064a\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u063a\u0632\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 6 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0633\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 22%.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> \u0628\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0646 36 \u0648 37 \u0645\u0646 JCPOA \u00a0\u0643\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2015 \u0644\u0647\u0645 \u062d\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0648\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0648\u0636\u064a\u0629 15 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u064f\u062d\u0644\u0651 \u064a\u064f\u0631\u0633\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0645\u0627\u0645\u0647\u0645 15 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645\u060c \u062b\u0645 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0623\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0648\u0636\u064a\u0629 5 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u062d\u0644 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644. \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u064c\u062d\u0644 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0646 35 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0648\u0649 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0642\u062a\u0646\u0639 \u0648\u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062c\u0632\u0629 \u0628\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u060c \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u0642\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0628\u062d\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 30 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0648\u064a\u062a \u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0625\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u0642\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a &#8211; \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0636\u062f\u0647 \u062d\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0636 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0641\u064a\u062a\u0648&#8221; (\u0639\u062f\u0627 \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0639\u0636\u0648\u0627 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646). \u0648\u0628\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0623\u062a\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u062d\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u00a0JCPOA\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0648\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0628\u0648\u0647\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 24 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0648\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0648\u0646 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0641\u0639\u064a\u0644 \u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629. \u0623\u064f\u0634\u0650\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0637\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a JCPOA \u00a0\u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0646\u0627\u062f (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranwatch.org\/our-publications\/policy-briefs\/trigger-warning-consequences-snapping-back-sanctions-iran\">Trigger Mechanism<\/a>) \u0623\u0648 \u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u00a0(<a href=\"\u0631https:\/www.washingtoninstitute.org\/policy-analysis\/snapback-sanctions-iran-more-bark-bite\">Snapback<\/a>). \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0648\u0631 \u0622\u062e\u0631\u060c \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0643 \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0625\u0630\u0627 &#8220;\u0625\u062d\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0641\u064a JCPOA \u00a0\u00a0&#8211; \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0639\u064f\u0631\u0651\u0641 \u0641\u064a UNSCR 2231 \u2013 \u0633\u064a\u064f\u0628\u0644\u063a \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0646\u0641\u0630\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0640 JCPOA \u00a0. \u0633\u064a\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 30 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0648\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u064a\u064f\u0639\u0627\u062f \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629: 1835 (2008)\u060c 1803 (2008)\u060c 1747 (2007) \u060c\u00a0 1737 (2007) \u060c\u00a0 1696 (2006) UNSCR\u060c\u00a0 1929 (2010) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0649 \u0628\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 UNSCR 2231. \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0628\u0640&#8221;\u0633\u0646\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0643&#8221; \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0633\u064a\u064f\u0639\u064a\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<div class=\"pdfprnt-buttons pdfprnt-buttons-post pdfprnt-bottom-left\"><a href=\"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F4183&print=pdf\" class=\"pdfprnt-button pdfprnt-button-pdf\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/penus.krd\/wp-content\/plugins\/pdf-print\/images\/pdf.png\" alt=\"image_pdf\" title=\"Download PDF\" \/><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fposts%2F4183&print=print\" class=\"pdfprnt-button pdfprnt-button-print\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/penus.krd\/wp-content\/plugins\/pdf-print\/images\/print.png\" alt=\"image_print\" title=\"Print Content\" \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u062f.\u067e\u0631\u0648\u064a\u0632 \u0631\u062d\u064a\u0645 \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0631\/ \u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0641\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \/ \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u064a \u062a\u0631\u062c\u0645\u0647 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0628\u0631 \u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2023\u060c \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u063a\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0627\u0639\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0623 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a. \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":2945,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-penus"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ 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href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer.php?u=https:\/\/penus.krd\/?p=4183\" class=\"pl-facebook-share social-share-default pl-social-share\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fab fa-facebook-f\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/a><a data-share=\"twitter\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https:\/\/penus.krd\/?p=4183\" class=\"pl-twiiter-share social-share-default pl-social-share\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fab fa-twitter\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/a><a data-share=\"linkedin\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?url=https:\/\/penus.krd\/?p=4183\" class=\"pl-linkedin-share social-share-default pl-social-share\" target=\"_blank\"><i class=\"fab fa-linkedin-in\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/a>","wordExcerpt_info":"<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\"><span style=\"color: #000000\"><strong>\u062f.<\/strong><strong>\u067e<\/strong><strong>\u0631\u0648\u064a\u0632 \u0631\u062d\u064a\u0645 \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0631\/ 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\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646. \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e 19-6-2024 \u0647\u062f\u062f \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u064f\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0628\u0634\u0646 \u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/18\/middleeast\/hezbollah-drone-video-israel-haifa-intl-latam\/index.html?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc\">\u0648\u0642\u0628\u0631\u0635<\/a>. \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/originals\/2024\/06\/lebanon-hochstein-calls-urgent-end-israel-hezbollah-escalation\">\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u062e\u0641\u0636 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/a>. \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0622\u062e\u0631 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/fa-ir\/%D9%86%DA%AF%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C%D9%87%D8%A7-%D8%A7%D8%B2-%D8%AC%D9%86%DA%AF-%D8%AC%D8%AF%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%A6%DB%8C%D9%84-%D9%88-%D8%AD%D8%B2%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%84%D9%87-%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%86\/a-69432062\">\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u062c\u0631\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u062a\u0645\u0648\u0632<\/a> \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2006. \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0642\u064f\u062a\u0644 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 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href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/20\/middleeast\/hagari-netanyahu-destroy-hamas-israel-intl\/index.html\">\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629<\/a>\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0639\u0644\u06cc \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u06cc \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0623\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u060c \u062a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628. \u0628\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0623\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0625\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0621 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u063a\u0632\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/israel-hamas-war\/article-797394\">\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637\u0627\u062a<\/a>\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>\u060c \u0648 <a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/Hezbollahs-Missile-and-Rocket-Arrays.pdf\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u062a\u0627\u062f<\/a> \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 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\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/02\/29\/israel-hezbollah-war-inevitable\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0634\u0629<\/a> \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629\u00a0 \u0648\u0623\u064a \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/06\/20\/hezbollah-leader-warns-israel-of-war-with-no-red-lines-threatens-cyprus-.html\">\u0644\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0621<\/a> \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0631\u0633\u0645\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0634\u0639\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\u0639\u062f\u0627 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0631\u060c <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/20\/middleeast\/israel-gaza-intelligence-accountability-analysis-intl-cmd\/index.html?iid=cnn_buildContentRecirc_end_recirc\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0646\u064a\u0627\u0647\u0648<\/a> \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u060c \u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 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\u0644\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u064a\u0646. \u0643\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0623\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0631\u063a\u0628\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0633\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0644\u0641 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/06\/18\/iran-nuclear-model-us-israel-assessing-intelligence\">\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f<\/a> \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0633\u0646\u0629 2006 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0631\u0642\u0645 <a href=\"https:\/\/peacemaker.un.org\/israellebanon-resolution1701\">1701<\/a> \u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646. \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0625\u0646 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/06\/18\/iran-nuclear-model-us-israel-assessing-intelligence\">\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a<\/a> \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u0631\u0627 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062d\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646. \u0639\u062f\u0627 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0634\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0636\u062f \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0627 \u0632\u0627\u0644\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u062a\u0635\u0631\u064a\u062d\u0627\u062a <a href=\"https:\/\/parsi.euronews.com\/2024\/06\/05\/wsj-israel-and-hezbollah-are-on-the-brink-of-a-full-scale-war\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u064a\u0646<\/a>\u060c \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u062f\u0646\u0629\u200c \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0625\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u063a\u0632\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0639 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/06\/20\/politics\/us-concerns-israel-iron-dome-hezbollah\/index.html\">\u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627 \u062d\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0627<\/a>. \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627 (<a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/\">Alma Research and Education Center<\/a>) \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0632\u0627\u062f \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0634\u0646\u0647 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u062b\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0634\u0631 \u0636\u0639\u0641\u0627\u064b. \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u0631 85 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0646\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0646 42 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0623\u0630\u0627\u0631 24 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0634\u0628\u0627\u0637 7 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0642\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2024.\u00a0 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0647\u062f\u060c &#8220;\u0646\u0641\u0630\u062a \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0630 8 \u062a\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 2023 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 31 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u0631 2024 \u062d\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0644\u0641 \u0648954 \u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 46% \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0637\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0646\u064a\u0629&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/parsi.euronews.com\/2024\/06\/04\/is-hezbollah-beginning-to-anticipate-idfs-responses\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u0645\u062d \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/a> \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644. \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0645\u0639 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647\u060c \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u0633 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0628\u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u063a\u0632\u0629.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647\u060c \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0634\u0648\u0628 \u0623\u064a \u0627\u0634\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0647 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0644\u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0639 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0631\u0627\u0637 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0639 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0644\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0641\u060c \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0643\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0647 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0628\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631 \u0642\u0644\u0639\u0629 \u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u0642\u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647\u060c \u0633\u062a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0648\u0633\u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f\u0639 (deterrence policy) \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0648\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u064a\u060c \u0623\u062b\u0628\u062a\u062a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0648\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0639 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0643\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u062e\u0635\u0648\u0635\u0627 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0631\u0623\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c \u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062a\u064f\u062f\u0631\u0643 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0625\u0636\u0639\u0627\u0641\u0647\u060c \u0633\u062a\u0634\u062c\u0639 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0644\u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629. \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0648\u0631 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0634\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0647\u064a \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0643\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0648 \u062d\u0631\u0628 (\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0634\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0643) \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0626\u0629 (asymmetric warfare). \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0642 \u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644\u062a \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0635\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0631\u0629&#8221;\u060c \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0634\u0646 \u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0635\u0627\u0631\u0648\u062e\u064a \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0634\u0646\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0634\u064a\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0641\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u064a\u062f 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\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627 &#8220;\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0635\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0631\u0629&#8221; (carrot and stick)\u060c \u0628\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0636\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628.<\/p>\n<ul dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p dir=\"rtl\" style=\"text-align: justify\">\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u06cc \u062a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0647\u0627 <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/03\/26\/bidens-iran-policy-nuclear-deal-jcpoa\/\">\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627<\/a> \u0623\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 <a href=\"https:\/\/thebulletin.org\/2024\/04\/why-iran-may-accelerate-its-nuclear-program-and-israel-may-be-tempted-to-attack-it\/\">\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627<\/a> \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 \u0644\u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0647\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/iranprimer.usip.org\/blog\/2023\/jan\/25\/israel-iran-threat-options\">\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629 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href=\"https:\/\/www.fdd.org\/analysis\/2024\/05\/22\/u-s-conducts-secret-indirect-talks-with-irans-chief-nuclear-negotiator\/\">\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a\u0629<\/a> \u0648 \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national-security\/2024\/06\/19\/iran-nuclear-enrichment-fordow\/\">\u062a\u062e\u0635\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0648\u0645<\/a> \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 60% \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0644 \u0625\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a \u0648\u0623\u0645\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0628\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u0648\u0642\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0648\u0636\u0627\u062a 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\u0623\u064f\u0634\u0650\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0637\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a JCPOA \u00a0\u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0646\u0627\u062f (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iranwatch.org\/our-publications\/policy-briefs\/trigger-warning-consequences-snapping-back-sanctions-iran\">Trigger Mechanism<\/a>) \u0623\u0648 \u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u00a0(<a href=\"\/www.washingtoninstitute.org\/policy-analysis\/snapback-sanctions-iran-more-bark-bite\">Snapback<\/a>). \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0648\u0631 \u0622\u062e\u0631\u060c \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0643 \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0625\u0630\u0627 &#8220;\u0625\u062d\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0641\u064a JCPOA \u00a0\u00a0&#8211; \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0639\u064f\u0631\u0651\u0641 \u0641\u064a UNSCR 2231 \u2013 \u0633\u064a\u064f\u0628\u0644\u063a \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0646\u0641\u0630\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0640 JCPOA \u00a0. \u0633\u064a\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 30 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0648\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u064a\u064f\u0639\u0627\u062f \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629: 1835 (2008)\u060c 1803 (2008)\u060c 1747 (2007) \u060c\u00a0 1737 (2007) \u060c\u00a0 1696 (2006) UNSCR\u060c\u00a0 1929 (2010) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0649 \u0628\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 UNSCR 2231. \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0628\u0640&#8221;\u0633\u0646\u0627\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0643&#8221; \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0633\u064a\u064f\u0639\u064a\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n","comment_info":"No Comments","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4183"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4185,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4183\/revisions\/4185"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/penus.krd\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}